The Goody's 500
The NASCAR Sprint Cup series moves to Martinsville Speedway for the sixth race of the 2010 season, the Goody's Fast Pain Relief 500. Brian Brown took a look at past performances, season trends, and spoke with NASCAR contacts to predict how the field should finish on Sunday.
When: Sunday, March 28, 2010; 1:13 p.m./et.
Weather: Mostly cloudy with a high around 59; wind out of the ESE at 6 mph. There is a zero percent chance of precipitation.
The Track: The Half Mile Paperclip
Martinsville Speedway is a half mile paperclip shaped track with intermediate 12 degree banking on the turns. It is a smaller version of New Hampshire Motor Speedway so teams often use the same car and a similar setup at both tracks. Drivers that are successful at NHMS often run well at Martinsville.
Key to Race: LOOK OUT FOR THE HENDRICK BOYS
Hendrick Motorsports has dominated Martinsville. Jeff Gordon and Jimmie Johnson have combined to win eight of the last 11 races at the track. Denny Hamlin shouldn't be completely ignored on Sunday, but if it isn't Gordon or Johnson taking the checkers we will be surprised.
Qualifying Procedures:
46 cars will attempt to qualify for 43 spots. Cars not in the top 35 in the 2010 owner points standings will have to qualify based on speed. Starting positions 1-43 will be determined by qualifying on Friday, March 26 at 3:10 pm/et.
Fantasy Cheat Sheet:
Top 5
No. 48 Jimmie Johnson: Johnson has won five of the past seven races at Martinsville. We expect the No. 48 team will be headed to Victory Lane to claim yet another Martinsville Grandfather Clock.
No. 11 Denny Hamlin: Hamlin has eight top 10 finishes in 10 career starts at Martinsville. He won last year's fall race and should battle J.J. for the win.
No. 14 Tony Stewart: Stewart and Denny Hamlin are the only drivers not named Jimmie Johnson or Jeff Gordon to win a race at Martinsville since 2004. Smoke will eat a ton of the track's famous red hot dogs and have the No. 14 near the front this weekend.
No. 24 Jeff Gordon: Gordon has seven career wins at Martinsville. He will crack the top five and could win with a little luck.
No. 5 Mark Martin: Martin has 23 top 10 finishes at M'ville during his career. He should make it 24 on Sunday.
6 to 10
No. 42 Juan Pablo Montoya: Montoya has notched top 16 finishes in all six of his career starts at Martinsville. I can't believe we are saying this due to his slow start to the season, but Montoya is a safe pick on Sunday.
No. 33 Clint Bowyer: Bowyer has cracked the top 11 in five of his last six starts at Martinsville. He will be fast on Sunday.
No. 99 Carl Edwards: Edwards cracked the top 10 in both of the 2008 races at Martinsville. He should be the top Roush-Fenway driver this weekend.
No. 18 Kyle Busch: Busch has had past success at short-tracks, but his lack of consistency this season makes him too risky of a pick for our top five.
No. 1 Jamie McMurray: McMurray has finished in the top 10 in nine of his 14 career
Martinsville starts. This is the weekend to use the No. 1 car.
11 to 20
No. 29 Kevin Harvick: Harvick has managed to avoid trouble at Martinsville during his career. He should continue to avoid the frequent accidents and could crack the top 10 on Sunday.
No. 88 Dale Earnhardt Jr.: Junior has finished in the top six in nine of his 20 career starts at Martinsville. He should have no trouble cracking the top 15 on Sunday.
No. 39 Ryan Newman: Newman has qualified inside the top 10 in 11 of his 16 Cup starts at Martinsville. His strong qualifying skills will help Newman to break out of his 2010 slump.
No. 31 Jeff Burton: Burton has averaged a 15th place finish at Martinsville during his career. He should finish right around his average this weekend.
No. 2 Kurt Busch: Busch has really struggled at Martinsville lately. There are much better weekends to use the No. 2 driver.
No. 17 Matt Kenseth: Kenseth has just two top five finishes in 20 Cup starts at Martinsville. He isn't a great option this weekend.
No. 20 Joey Logano: Logano has been much improved this season. He won't match the 12th place finish he had last fall at M'ville, but he should easily crack the top 20.
No. 83 Brian Vickers: Vickers has driven strong cars at Martinsville in five of the past six races. He should have no problem cracking the top 20 on Sunday.
No. 9 Kasey Kahne: Kahne has led just 18 laps in 11 career starts at Martinsville. He isn't a great choice.
No. 47 Marcos Ambrose: Ambrose has been great on short-tracks during his career, including last weekend when he had a top five car before being caught up in an unfortunate wreck. This is a good opportunity to use the Terrific Tasmanian.
21 to 30
No. 16 Greg Biffle: Biffle has just one top 10 finish in 14 career starts at Martinsville. There are far better weekends to use The Biff.
No. 6 David Ragan: Ragan has cracked the top 27 in all seven of his career starts at Martinsville. He will do it again this weekend.
No. 98 Paul Menard: Menard is quickly becoming the story of the 2010 season. He is bound to have some bad luck soon, but it might be worth riding his hot streak for a few more races.
No. 43 A.J. Allmendinger: Allmendinger had a nice run at M'ville this spring. He won't match the ninth place finish, but he shouldn't have a problem cracking the top 25.
No. 56 Martin Truex Jr.: Truex Jr has just one top 10 finish in eight career starts at Martinsville. There are better weekends to use him.
No. 00 David Reutimann: Reutimann has never cracked the top 15 at Martinsville. This isn't a race to use him
No. 19 Elliott Sadler: Sadler has just three top 10 finishes in 22 career starts at Martinsville. There are far better options this weekend.
No. 12 Brad Keselowski: Keselowski struggled pretty mightily in his first trip to a short-track last weekend. Stay away from him until he loses the yellow-stripe in 2011.
No. 82 Scott Speed: Speed has never had much success at Martinsville, but he is a new driver this season.
No. 78 Regan Smith: Smith is a bit of a short-track stallion. He could surprise with a top 25 finish this weekend.
31 to 35
No. 34 Travis Kvapil: Kvapil has had decent success on short-tracks during his career. He is a decent option as a fifth driver on most fantasy teams.
No. 71 Bobby Labonte: Labonte has been terrible in four of the last six races at Martinsville. He isn't a great pick.
No. 55 Michael McDowell: McDowell will be doing well to qualify for Sunday's race.
No. 77 Sam Hornish Jr.: Hornish Jr. will struggle to crack the top 30 at Martinsville.
No. 7 Robby Gordon: Gordon hasn't cracked the top 30 at Martinsville in the past nine races. He isn't guaranteed a spot in the race, but he should make the race.
Field Fillers
No. 26 Boris Said
No. 90 Casey Mears
No. 13 Max Papis
No. 37 David Gilliland
No. 09 Aric Almirola
No. 38 Kevin Conway
No. 66 Dave Blaney
No. 87 Joe Nemechek
No. 46 Terry Cook
No. 36 Mike Bliss
No. 35 Johnny Sauter
Brownie's Picks
Top Four:
1. Jimmie Johnson
2. Denny Hamlin
3. Tony Stewart
4. Jeff Gordon
Sleepers:
1. Jamie McMurray
2. Paul Menard
Bust of the Week:
Greg Biffle
The NASCAR Sprint Cup series moves to Martinsville Speedway for the sixth race of the 2010 season, the Goody's Fast Pain Relief 500. Brian Brown took a look at past performances, season trends, and spoke with NASCAR contacts to predict how the field should finish on Sunday.
When: Sunday, March 28, 2010; 1:13 p.m./et.
Weather: Mostly cloudy with a high around 59; wind out of the ESE at 6 mph. There is a zero percent chance of precipitation.
The Track: The Half Mile Paperclip
Martinsville Speedway is a half mile paperclip shaped track with intermediate 12 degree banking on the turns. It is a smaller version of New Hampshire Motor Speedway so teams often use the same car and a similar setup at both tracks. Drivers that are successful at NHMS often run well at Martinsville.
Key to Race: LOOK OUT FOR THE HENDRICK BOYS
Hendrick Motorsports has dominated Martinsville. Jeff Gordon and Jimmie Johnson have combined to win eight of the last 11 races at the track. Denny Hamlin shouldn't be completely ignored on Sunday, but if it isn't Gordon or Johnson taking the checkers we will be surprised.
Qualifying Procedures:
46 cars will attempt to qualify for 43 spots. Cars not in the top 35 in the 2010 owner points standings will have to qualify based on speed. Starting positions 1-43 will be determined by qualifying on Friday, March 26 at 3:10 pm/et.
Fantasy Cheat Sheet:
Top 5
No. 48 Jimmie Johnson: Johnson has won five of the past seven races at Martinsville. We expect the No. 48 team will be headed to Victory Lane to claim yet another Martinsville Grandfather Clock.
No. 11 Denny Hamlin: Hamlin has eight top 10 finishes in 10 career starts at Martinsville. He won last year's fall race and should battle J.J. for the win.
No. 14 Tony Stewart: Stewart and Denny Hamlin are the only drivers not named Jimmie Johnson or Jeff Gordon to win a race at Martinsville since 2004. Smoke will eat a ton of the track's famous red hot dogs and have the No. 14 near the front this weekend.
No. 24 Jeff Gordon: Gordon has seven career wins at Martinsville. He will crack the top five and could win with a little luck.
No. 5 Mark Martin: Martin has 23 top 10 finishes at M'ville during his career. He should make it 24 on Sunday.
6 to 10
No. 42 Juan Pablo Montoya: Montoya has notched top 16 finishes in all six of his career starts at Martinsville. I can't believe we are saying this due to his slow start to the season, but Montoya is a safe pick on Sunday.
No. 33 Clint Bowyer: Bowyer has cracked the top 11 in five of his last six starts at Martinsville. He will be fast on Sunday.
No. 99 Carl Edwards: Edwards cracked the top 10 in both of the 2008 races at Martinsville. He should be the top Roush-Fenway driver this weekend.
No. 18 Kyle Busch: Busch has had past success at short-tracks, but his lack of consistency this season makes him too risky of a pick for our top five.
No. 1 Jamie McMurray: McMurray has finished in the top 10 in nine of his 14 career
Martinsville starts. This is the weekend to use the No. 1 car.
11 to 20
No. 29 Kevin Harvick: Harvick has managed to avoid trouble at Martinsville during his career. He should continue to avoid the frequent accidents and could crack the top 10 on Sunday.
No. 88 Dale Earnhardt Jr.: Junior has finished in the top six in nine of his 20 career starts at Martinsville. He should have no trouble cracking the top 15 on Sunday.
No. 39 Ryan Newman: Newman has qualified inside the top 10 in 11 of his 16 Cup starts at Martinsville. His strong qualifying skills will help Newman to break out of his 2010 slump.
No. 31 Jeff Burton: Burton has averaged a 15th place finish at Martinsville during his career. He should finish right around his average this weekend.
No. 2 Kurt Busch: Busch has really struggled at Martinsville lately. There are much better weekends to use the No. 2 driver.
No. 17 Matt Kenseth: Kenseth has just two top five finishes in 20 Cup starts at Martinsville. He isn't a great option this weekend.
No. 20 Joey Logano: Logano has been much improved this season. He won't match the 12th place finish he had last fall at M'ville, but he should easily crack the top 20.
No. 83 Brian Vickers: Vickers has driven strong cars at Martinsville in five of the past six races. He should have no problem cracking the top 20 on Sunday.
No. 9 Kasey Kahne: Kahne has led just 18 laps in 11 career starts at Martinsville. He isn't a great choice.
No. 47 Marcos Ambrose: Ambrose has been great on short-tracks during his career, including last weekend when he had a top five car before being caught up in an unfortunate wreck. This is a good opportunity to use the Terrific Tasmanian.
21 to 30
No. 16 Greg Biffle: Biffle has just one top 10 finish in 14 career starts at Martinsville. There are far better weekends to use The Biff.
No. 6 David Ragan: Ragan has cracked the top 27 in all seven of his career starts at Martinsville. He will do it again this weekend.
No. 98 Paul Menard: Menard is quickly becoming the story of the 2010 season. He is bound to have some bad luck soon, but it might be worth riding his hot streak for a few more races.
No. 43 A.J. Allmendinger: Allmendinger had a nice run at M'ville this spring. He won't match the ninth place finish, but he shouldn't have a problem cracking the top 25.
No. 56 Martin Truex Jr.: Truex Jr has just one top 10 finish in eight career starts at Martinsville. There are better weekends to use him.
No. 00 David Reutimann: Reutimann has never cracked the top 15 at Martinsville. This isn't a race to use him
No. 19 Elliott Sadler: Sadler has just three top 10 finishes in 22 career starts at Martinsville. There are far better options this weekend.
No. 12 Brad Keselowski: Keselowski struggled pretty mightily in his first trip to a short-track last weekend. Stay away from him until he loses the yellow-stripe in 2011.
No. 82 Scott Speed: Speed has never had much success at Martinsville, but he is a new driver this season.
No. 78 Regan Smith: Smith is a bit of a short-track stallion. He could surprise with a top 25 finish this weekend.
31 to 35
No. 34 Travis Kvapil: Kvapil has had decent success on short-tracks during his career. He is a decent option as a fifth driver on most fantasy teams.
No. 71 Bobby Labonte: Labonte has been terrible in four of the last six races at Martinsville. He isn't a great pick.
No. 55 Michael McDowell: McDowell will be doing well to qualify for Sunday's race.
No. 77 Sam Hornish Jr.: Hornish Jr. will struggle to crack the top 30 at Martinsville.
No. 7 Robby Gordon: Gordon hasn't cracked the top 30 at Martinsville in the past nine races. He isn't guaranteed a spot in the race, but he should make the race.
Field Fillers
No. 26 Boris Said
No. 90 Casey Mears
No. 13 Max Papis
No. 37 David Gilliland
No. 09 Aric Almirola
No. 38 Kevin Conway
No. 66 Dave Blaney
No. 87 Joe Nemechek
No. 46 Terry Cook
No. 36 Mike Bliss
No. 35 Johnny Sauter
Brownie's Picks
Top Four:
1. Jimmie Johnson
2. Denny Hamlin
3. Tony Stewart
4. Jeff Gordon
Sleepers:
1. Jamie McMurray
2. Paul Menard
Bust of the Week:
Greg Biffle